The Future of Dubai’s Real Estate: Rental Growth to Slow Down in 2024

Dubai’s real estate market has been witnessing remarkable growth in recent years, driven by high demand and a surge in property prices. However, a new study conducted by ValuStrat, a renowned real estate valuation and advisory services company, suggests that tenants in Dubai can expect some relief in 2024. Despite the continued high demand for properties, the rental market is projected to experience a slowdown in rental hikes next year. This blog post delves into the latest findings of the ValuStrat study and explores the trends in Dubai’s real estate, highlighting the key areas and property types that are witnessing significant growth. Let’s take a closer look at the future of Dubai’s real estate market.

Dubai’s Real Estate Market in 2023:

The real estate market in Dubai has been soaring, as evident from the ValuStrat Price Index (VPI), which recorded a remarkable 11.7% year-on-year growth for the second quarter of 2023. This growth has led to a total of 91 points, showcasing the continued demand and attractiveness of Dubai’s residential properties.

Areas Witnessing the Most Gains:

Several neighborhoods in Dubai have been experiencing substantial gains in property prices. Among them are Jumeirah Islands, Emirates Hills, Palm Jumeirah, Dubai Hills Estate, and Arabian Ranches, all of which recorded impressive year-on-year growth ranging from 16.8% to 20.8%.

Rental Market Surges:

Rental prices for new residential contracts saw a remarkable surge in 2023, with a substantial increase of 32.6% compared to the corresponding period in the previous year. Villas led the rental increase, achieving an average asking rent of 394,500 dirhams per annum, marking a 52% annual increase.

The Rise of Affordable Segments:

Intriguingly, the affordable segment of the real estate market witnessed notable growth for the first time since the pandemic. Areas such as Motor City and Discovery Gardens experienced gains of nearly 5%, signaling a shift towards more affordable and high-yield properties.

Dubai’s Oversupply of Apartments:

While the villa segment has seen significant growth, the same cannot be said for apartments, which represent over 85% of all residential units in Dubai. Apartments have not experienced the same capital gains witnessed in the villa segment. However, with villas becoming more unaffordable, investors are now turning to smaller, more affordable homes with stable prices.

Future Projections for Dubai’s Real Estate Market:

Looking ahead to 2024, experts predict a slowdown in rental hikes. The rental increases for new contracts are expected to continue but at a slower rate compared to previous years. As property prices reach ceilings in certain areas, the growth is likely to broaden into more affordable residential sectors, offering better value and potential capital appreciation.

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